Event Archive

27 hawk MPs refuse to back Ghalibaf's negotiators. Jalili publicly challenges Mojtaba Khamenei. Tasnim (IRGC) vs Raja News (ultra-conservative). Deepest public fracture in Iranian leadership since war began.

Milioptimist OSINT: destroyers withdrawn, 3 carriers in theater but holding off Hormuz. C-17/C-5 airlift at record intensity. 11 MEU disappeared from tracking.

Wall Street Journal reports Trump chose prolonged naval blockade as less risky than resuming large-scale strikes. USN ordered to prepare for extended blockade operations.

Overnight Situation Room meeting pauses Phase 2. Destroyers withdraw 200-300mi from Israel. Vance, Rubio, Caine pushed delay against Trump/Hegseth.

US military planes form sustained airbridge, transporting cargo into ME bases. Continuation of 62-sortie airlift surge from Signal-006.

Iranian FM met Putin for 2+ hours in St. Petersburg after snubbing US in Pakistan, presenting 3-point Hormuz proposal with Russian backing.

IDF 200+ ceasefire violations, 5 divisions deployed, 30+ killed per day. Hezbollah drone adaptation. Ceasefire nominal only.

Iran tells mediators it will not negotiate on its nuclear program or Strait of Hormuz until the war ends. Closes backdoor diplomatic tracks on both critical issues.

US sends dozens of combat aircraft and tankers from US bases to the Middle East, deploying across Israel, UAE, and Jordan. Force posture expanding during ceasefire.

Israel sends Iron Dome air defense battery to UAE with Israeli soldiers operating on Emirati territory. First known Israeli military deployment to Gulf state.